New international reality and Russia's strategy
Abstract
The transition to a new phase of global transformation, which we are witnessing against the background of the Ukrainian crisis, requires an understanding of the origins and outcomes of previous events. This analysis also makes it possible to make forecasts of the further development of the situation. The article analyzes the causes of the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, which, on the one hand, exposed fundamental contradictions between Russia and the West, and on the other, has a complex internal structure connected with the very essence of Russian-Ukrainian relations. The role of sanctions, the main tool of the West to remove Russia from the «first league» of world politics, is indicated. The circle of participants in the conflict is indicated, which includes several categories of players with different political goals at once. In conclusion, the nature of their actions is noted and a forecast is made for the further evolution of their strategies.
About the Author
A. A. SushentsovRussian Federation
Andrey A. Sushentsov - PhD in Political Science, Associate Professor, Department of Applied International Analysis, Dean, School of International Relations
76, av. Vernadsky, Moscow, 119454
RSCI Author ID: 240313 spin-code: 8851-1708
Scopus Author ID: 57142421200
Researcher ID (WoS): F-8930-2017
References
1. Biersteker T. Understanding Effectiveness of International Sanctions. The MGIMO Review of International Relations. – 2019. – №3(66). – pp 7–16.
2. Bogaturov A. D. Bogaturov A. D., The Counter-Revolution of Values and International Security // International Processes. – 2008. – Vol. 6. – №2. – pp. 4–15.
3. Bocharnikov I. V., Ovsyannikova O. A. Anti-Russian Trends in Ukraine’s Foreign Policy // Diplomatic Service. – 2021. – №5. – pp. 426–437.
4. Sokolshchik L., Suslov D. Prospects for the Russia-US Relations under George Biden: Ideological and Political Dimensions // International Processes. – 2022. – Vol. 20. – №1(68). – pp. 148–165.
5. Sushentsov A. A. What is the direction of the international political situation in Europe? // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/mezhdunarodno-politicheskayaobstanovka-v-evrope/?sphrase_id=551591 (Accessed 28 October 2022).
6. Sushentsov A. A. Legitimation of War and Ukraine’s Potential for Endurance // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/legitimatsiya-voynoy/?sphraseid=551591 (Accessed 28 October 2022).
7. Sushentsov A. A. On Whose Side Is Time in the Confrontation between Russia and the West? // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/na-chey-storone-vremya/?sphrase_id=551591 (Accessed 28 October 2022).
8. Sushentsov A. A. Talking like an adult. Is Russia backing its threats with actions? // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/pogovorit-po-vzroslomu/ (Accessed 28 October 2022).
9. Sushentsov A. A. Strategy of Sentimentality in EU Foreign Policy // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/strategiya-sentimentalnosti/?sphrase_id=551591 (Accessed 28 October 2022).
10. Sushentsov A. A. Is Ukraine an Eastern European Cuba in Reverse? // The Valdai Discussion Club. – 2022. - September 23. URL: https://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraina-vostochnoevropeyskayakuba/?sphraseid=551591 (Accessed 28 October 2022).
11. Timofeev I. N., Morozov V. A. Sanctions against Russia: 2018 Review and Forecast for 2019; The Russian International Affairs Council. Volume 43/2018. – Mosow: The Russian International Affairs Council, a nonprofit partnership, 2019. – p. 76. – ISBN 978-5-6041888-9-7.
12. Timofeev I. N. Economic Sanctions as a Concept of Power Politics // The MGIMO Review of International Relations. – 2018. – №2(59). – pages 26–42. – DOI 10.24833/2071-8160-2018-2-59-26-42.
13. Zhao L. Impact of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict on the Transformation of the International Order // Issues of National and Federative Relations. – 2022. – Vol. 12. – №4(85). – pp. 1492–1497. – DOI 10.35775/PSI.2022.85.4.043.
14. Alcaro, R. 2022. The Return of US Leadership in Europe: Biden and the Russia Crisis. IAI Commentaries, (22).
15. Beraich, M., Amzile, K., Laamire, J., Zirari, O., & Fadali, M. A. 2022. Volatility Spillover Effects of the US, European and Chinese Financial Markets in the Context of the Russia–Ukraine Conflict. International Journal of Financial Studies, №10(4), 95.
16. Cafruny, A., Fouskas, V. K., Mallinson, W. D., & Voynitsky, A. 2022. Ukraine, Multipolarity and the Crisis of Grand Strategies. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, pp. 1-21.
17. Clinton B. I Tried to Put Russia on Another Path. The Atlantic, July 7, 2022. URL: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/billclinton-nato-expansion-ukraine/629499/ (Accessed 28 October 2022).
18. Hunter, R. 2022. The Ukraine Crisis: why and what now? Survival, № 64(1), pp. 7-28.
Review
For citations:
Sushentsov A.A. New international reality and Russia's strategy. International Business. 2022;(1 (1)):22-30.